Bill Murray
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Miss
Ty Johnson Over 6.5 Receptions vs. Rams
The bet: Over 6.5 receptions
You checked 6.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.
BUF@LAR Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 6.5 in 0 of his last 2
Last 2 gamesSep 27 to Oct 4L2 average 3.0
Small sample: 2 games.
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 6.5 receptions lost.
Final: 4.
Hit rate vs the line
0of2
Sep 27 – Oct 4
- 4
- 2
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L2 average
3.0vs 6.5 line
Based on 2 games
Game results
Ty Johnson receptions over the last 2 games versus a line of 6.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 6.5
Game log · L2, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Miss | 4 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Buffalo Bills
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
33.3
Points / game
25.9
Allowed / game
Los Angeles Rams
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
24.2
Points / game
21
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 6.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+2900
Current
+2900
Change
0
Best available moved from +2900 to +2900. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback (opens in a new tab)
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Rams
CJ Daniels
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Ty Johnson Over 6.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Ty Johnson Over 6.5 receptions?
Ty Johnson hit over 6.5 receptions in 0 of 2 games across this season (2 games).
What is the closing price for Ty Johnson Over 6.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.