CJ Donaldson
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NO Pending
Alvin Kamara Under 3.5 Receptions
The bet: Under 3.5 receptions
CLE@NO Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 3.5 in 3 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 20 to Oct 25L6 average 3.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Minnesota Vikings | Under 3.5 receptions | 2 receptions | −138 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
3of6
(50%)
Sep 20 – Oct 25
- 5
- 1
- 5
- 2
- 2
- 7
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
3.7vs 3.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Alvin Kamara receptions over the last 6 games versus a line of 3.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 3.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsPIT(neutral) | Miss | 7 |
| Oct 18 | @NYG | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 11 | vsMIN | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Miss | 5 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Miss | 5 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Alvin Kamara
- Receptions per game
- 3.7
Season · 6 games
Alvin Kamara
KAMARA · TEAM TARGET SHARE
12.8%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
Cleveland Browns
CLE allows
3.5rec allowed/game to RBs
8th fewest (L4: T-5th fewest)8 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, NO
NO 14, CLE 7
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 3.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−106
Current
−122
Change
−16
Best available moved from −106 to −122. That pays $12.37 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Travis Etienne Jr.
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Cleveland Browns
Maliek Collins
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Deshaun Watson
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Alvin Kamara Under 3.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Alvin Kamara Under 3.5 receptions?
Alvin Kamara hit under 3.5 receptions in 3 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (50% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Alvin Kamara Under 3.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.