A.J. Terrell Jr.
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop ATL Pending
The bet: Under 4.5 receptions
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 3.5.
Best price now −150 at BetMGM, as of Oct 24, 10:59 AM ET · 1 book quoting · Updating prices...
Opened −150 at BetMGM, now −150
5 of 6 decided (83%) · this season
Verified facts
Bijan Robinson averaged 2.4 catches across 5 stored games, below the 4.5 line. He had 3.4 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: San Francisco 49ers allowed 7.2 catches per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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All games and results for this bet5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
3.3vs 4.5 line
Based on 6 games
Bijan Robinson receptions over the last 6 games versus a line of 4.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vsCHI | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 11 | vsBAL | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 5 | @NO | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 24 | @GB | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 20 | vsCAR | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 13 | @PIT | Miss | 8 |
Best price now: BetMGM −150
Prices as of Oct 24, 10:59 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +125
Over +127
Over +129
Over +120
Over +118
Over +130
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
ROBINSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
16.9%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
ROBINSON · TARGETS PER GAME
4.5targets/game
2026 regular season6 games
SF · RECEPTIONS
24.8rec/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Open
−150
Current
−150
Change
0
Best available moved from −150 to −150. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Research refreshed
Michael Penix Jr. exited Sunday night’s 30-23 overtime loss to the Baltimore Ravens with a rib injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
A.J. Terrell Jr.
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Beaux Collins
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Bijan Robinson hit under 4.5 receptions in 5 of his last 6 tracked games (83%). Best price is −150 at BetMGM.
Bijan Robinson hit under 4.5 receptions in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
−150 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Bijan Robinson Under 4.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.