Tyler Huntley
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
NFL player prop JAX Pending
Today's check
Brian Thomas Jr. Under 1.5 Receptions
The bet: Under 1.5 receptions
JAX@BAL Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 1.5 in 4 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 1.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
4of7
(57%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 3
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 1
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
1.4vs 1.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Brian Thomas Jr. receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsIND | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 18 | vsHOU(neutral) | Hit | 0 |
| Oct 11 | vsPHI(neutral) | Hit | 0 |
| Oct 4 | @CIN | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vsNE | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 20 | @DEN | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 13 | vsCLE | Miss | 3 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Brian Thomas Jr.
- Receptions per game
- 1.4
Season · 7 games
Brian Thomas Jr.
THOMAS · TARGETS PER GAME
3targets/game
2026 regular season7 games
Baltimore Ravens
BAL allows
12.8rec allowed/game to WRs
T-7th most (L4: T-15th fewest)8 games
Game
Rest
4days rest, both teams
JAX 4, BAL 4
Market movement
Price history
Under 1.5 receptions
Best price
Odds format
Open
−215
Current
−165
Change
+50
Best available moved from −215 to −165. That pays $14.10 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Ravens’ quarterback situation gets worse after new development (opens in a new tab)
The Ravens are facing a high possibility of missing Lamar Jackson for the remainder of the 2026 NFL season after he suffered a thumb injury.
Ravens’ quarterback situation gets worse after new development The Ravens are facing a high possibility of missing Lamar Jackson for the remainder of the 2026 NFL season after he suffered a thumb injury.
larrybrownsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Baltimore Ravens
Tyler Loop
out
Reported context: Roster availability is affected; the replacement role is not confirmed.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DaVon Hamilton
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Eric Murray
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Brian Thomas Jr. Under 1.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Brian Thomas Jr. Under 1.5 receptions?
Brian Thomas Jr. hit under 1.5 receptions in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.