Adam Randall
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop BAL Pending
Today's check
The bet: Under 1.5 receptions
Stayed under 1.5 in 4 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 1.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Price as of Nov 4, 9:35 PM ET −138 at DraftKings · Updating prices...
Opened −113 at DraftKings, last seen −138
4 of 7 decided (57%) · last 7 games
Verified facts
Derrick Henry hit under 1.5 receptions in 4 of his last 7 tracked games (57%).
Showing saved statistics.
The opponent: Jacksonville Jaguars allowed 5.3 catches per game to opposing running backs combined across 7 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
Showing saved research.
4of7
(57%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
1.6vs 1.5 line
Based on 7 games
Derrick Henry receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @BUF | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 25 | vsCIN | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 18 | @CLE | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 11 | @ATL | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsTEN | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vsDAL(neutral) | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 20 | vsNO | Miss | 3 |
Price as of Nov 4, 9:35 PM ET: DraftKings −138
Prices as of Nov 4, 9:35 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over −110
Over +106
Over +105
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Season · 8 games
HENRY · TEAM TARGET SHARE
6.2%of team targets
2026 regular season · 8 games
JAX allows
5.3rec allowed/game to RBs
T-7th most (L4: T-12th most) · 7 games
Rest
4days rest, both teams
BAL 4, JAX 4
Open
−113
Current
−138
Change
−25
Best available moved from −113 to −138. That pays $16.04 less on a $100 bet than at open.
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
The Ravens have agreed to trade for Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett after injuries devastated Baltimore's quarterback room.
cbssports.com · · Availability report
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Tyler “Snoop” Huntley suffered a season-ending turf toe injury against the Buffalo Bills.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Adam Randall
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Jaylinn Hawkins
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
DaVon Hamilton
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Eric Murray
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Derrick Henry hit under 1.5 receptions in 4 of his last 7 tracked games (57%). Last seen is −138 at DraftKings.
Derrick Henry hit under 1.5 receptions in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.