DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop DAL Pending
Upcoming check
The bet: Under 3.5 receptions
You checked 3.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET | Green Bay Packers | Under 3.5 receptions | 2 receptions | −131 | hit |
5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
2.8vs 3.5 line
Based on 6 games
Jake Ferguson receptions over the last 6 games versus a line of 3.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @GB | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 8 | vsTB | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Hit | 2 |
Compare prices at the book.
Over +230
Over +220
Over +244
Over +210
Over +210
Over +250
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
FERGUSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
10%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
FERGUSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
6.7%
2026 regular season6 games
FERGUSON · TARGETS PER GAME
4targets/game
2026 regular season6 games
Not enough recorded updates to chart the best price yet.
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Research refreshed
Dallas Cowboys' practice squad
after Jalen Hurts was sidelined by a blood clot.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dontayvion Wicks
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dee Winters
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drew Shelton
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jake Ferguson hit under 3.5 receptions in 5 of his last 6 tracked games (83%).
Jake Ferguson hit under 3.5 receptions in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.