Bobby Okereke
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop DEN Pending
Today's check
Jaylen Waddle Under 4.5 Receptions
The bet: Under 4.5 receptions
DEN@CAR Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 4.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 4.0
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Under 4.5 receptions | 4 receptions | −136 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 8
- 2
- 5
- 2
- 4
- 4
- 3
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
4.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Jaylen Waddle receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsKC | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 25 | @ARI | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 15 | vsSEA | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Miss | 5 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Miss | 8 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Jaylen Waddle
- Receptions per game
- 3.6
Season · 8 games
Jaylen Waddle
WADDLE · TEAM TARGET SHARE
22.7%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
Carolina Panthers
CAR allows
12.1rec allowed/game to WRs
9th most (L4: 6th most)7 games
Game
Rest
+3days rest, CAR
DEN 7, CAR 10
Market movement
Price history
Under 4.5 receptions
Best price
Odds format
Open
−135
Current
−125
Change
+10
Best available moved from −135 to −125. That pays $5.93 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Bryce Young, Dave Canales seem to disagree about QB's knee injury after Panthers' loss to Packers (opens in a new tab)
Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young took six sacks
Bryce Young, Dave Canales seem to disagree about QB's knee injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Carolina Panthers
Brady Christensen
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Denver Broncos
Brandon Jones
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Eyioma Uwazurike
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaylen Waddle Under 4.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaylen Waddle Under 4.5 receptions?
Jaylen Waddle hit under 4.5 receptions in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.