Caleb Banks
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop MIN Settled: Hit
T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5 Receptions vs. Bills
The bet: Under 4.5 receptions
BUF@MIN Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 4.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 4.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 4.5 receptions won.
Final: 4.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 4
- 3
- 2
- 13
- 1
- 4
- 4
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
4.4vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
T.J. Hockenson receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Miss | 13 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 4 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Buffalo Bills
2026 season · 8 games
7–1
Record
32
Points / game
23.4
Allowed / game
Minnesota Vikings
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
18.2
Points / game
14.5
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 4.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−102
Current
−136
Change
−34
Best available moved from −102 to −136. That pays $24.51 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Will Kyler Murray play against the Buffalo Bills today? Latest injury update on the Minnesota Vikings veteran quarterback (opens in a new tab)
Kyler Murray sustained a hamstring injury in the second half of the Minnesota Vikings’ first loss of the 2026 season against the Detroit Lions in Week 8.
Minnesota Vikings’ first loss of the 2026 season
timesofindia.indiatimes.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Minnesota Vikings
Charles Demmings
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Jalon Kilgore
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Jordan Hancock
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5 receptions?
T.J. Hockenson hit under 4.5 receptions in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
What is the closing price for T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.