Demond Claiborne
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
Upcoming check
Aaron Jones Over 16.5 Carries
The bet: Over 16.5 carries
You checked 16.5, an alternate line. Most books: 8.5.
BUF@MIN Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 16.5 in 4 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 15.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | New Orleans Saints | Over 16.5 carries | 25 carries | −150 | hit |
| Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET | Miami Dolphins | Over 16.5 carries | 20 carries | −105 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
4of7
(57%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 12
- 23
- 17
- 20
- 25
- 8
- 5
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
15.7vs 16.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Aaron Jones carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Miss | 5 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Miss | 8 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 12 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Aaron Jones
- Carries per game
- 15.7
Season · 7 games
Aaron Jones
JONES · TEAM CARRY SHARE
55.3%
2026 regular season7 games
Buffalo Bills
BUF allows
22.0carries allowed/game to RBs
T-12th fewest (L4: T-8th fewest)7 games
BUF · CARRIES FACED
25per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury Recent stories suggested that the Minnesota Vikings could at least consider making a move to land Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Minnesota Vikings
Jauan Jennings
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Jordan Hancock
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Joshua Palmer
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 16.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 16.5 carries?
Aaron Jones hit over 16.5 carries in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.