Ajani Cornelius
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop TB Settled: Hit
Bucky Irving Over 12.5 Carries vs. Cowboys
The bet: Over 12.5 carries
You checked 12.5, an alternate line. Most books: 13.5.
TB@DAL Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 12.5 carries won.
Final: 21.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 8
- 17
- 15
- 16
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
14.0vs 12.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Bucky Irving carries over the last 4 games versus a line of 12.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 12.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsGB | Hit | 16 |
| Sep 27 | vsMIN | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 20 | vsCLE | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 13 | @CIN | Miss | 8 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Your selection
2026 season · 6 games
1–5
Record
19.8
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
Dallas Cowboys
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
25.2
Points / game
26.5
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 12.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−155
Current
−160
Change
−5
Best available moved from −155 to −160. That pays $2.02 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallas Cowboys
Camden Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Antoine Winfield Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Baker Mayfield
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Bucky Irving Over 12.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Bucky Irving Over 12.5 carries?
Bucky Irving hit over 12.5 carries in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Bucky Irving Over 12.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.