Donovan Jennings
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop GB Final · result not graded yet
MarShawn Lloyd Over 4.5 Carries vs. Panthers
The bet: Over 4.5 carries
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 5.5.
CAR@GB Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Final · result not graded yet
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 13
- 6
- 4
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 6
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
7.7vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
MarShawn Lloyd carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @DET | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 18 | vsDAL | Hit | 8 |
| Oct 11 | vsCHI | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 4 | @TB | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 13 | @MIN | Hit | 13 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
MarShawn Lloyd
- Carries per game
- 7.7
Season · 7 games
MarShawn Lloyd
LLOYD · TEAM CARRY SHARE
37.5%
2026 regular season7 games
Carolina Panthers
CAR · CARRIES FACED
27.8per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Game
Rest
4days rest, both teams
GB 4, CAR 4
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 4.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−200
Current
−155
Change
+45
Best available moved from −200 to −155. That pays $14.52 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Packers’ offensive line dilemma finally reaches a turning point, while Matthew Golden’s status leaves some room for optimism (opens in a new tab)
Green Bay may finally start Kevin Zeitler at right guard.
Packers’ offensive line dilemma finally reaches a turning point, while Matthew Golden’s status leaves some room for optimism
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Green Bay Packers
Jacob Monk
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Carolina Panthers
AJ Dillon
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Akayleb Evans
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about MarShawn Lloyd Over 4.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for MarShawn Lloyd Over 4.5 carries?
MarShawn Lloyd hit over 4.5 carries in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
What is the closing price for MarShawn Lloyd Over 4.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.