Anfernee Jennings
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop NO Settled: Hit
Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 Carries vs. Vikings
The bet: Under 10.5 carries
MIN@NO Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 10.5 in 3 of his last 3
Last 3 gamesSep 20 to Oct 5L3 average 8.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 10.5 carries won.
Final: 3.
Hit rate vs the line
3of3
(100%)
Sep 20 – Oct 5
- 9
- 9
- 7
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
8.3vs 10.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Alvin Kamara carries over the last 3 games versus a line of 10.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 10.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Hit | 9 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Minnesota Vikings
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
20
Points / game
13.3
Allowed / game
New Orleans Saints
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
27.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 10.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−118
Current
−123
Change
−5
Best available moved from −118 to −123. That pays $3.45 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Vikings facing Odell Beckham Jr. decision after Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison injury updates (opens in a new tab)
The undefeated Minnesota Vikings will look to keep their streak alive with a road game against the New Orleans Saints in Week 5.
Vikings facing Odell Beckham Jr. decision after Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison injury updates
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Jeremiah Wright
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Minnesota Vikings
Charles Demmings
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Christian Darrisaw
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 carries?
Alvin Kamara hit under 10.5 carries in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.