CJ Donaldson
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NO Final · result not graded yet
Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 Carries vs. Browns
The bet: Under 10.5 carries
You checked 10.5, an alternate line. Most books: 11.5.
CLE@NO Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 10.5 in 6 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 20 to Oct 25L6 average 6.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Final · result not graded yet
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Hit rate vs the line
6of6
(100%)
Sep 20 – Oct 25
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 3
- 7
- 6
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
6.8vs 10.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Alvin Kamara carries over the last 6 games versus a line of 10.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 10.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsPIT(neutral) | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 18 | @NYG | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 11 | vsMIN | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Hit | 9 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Cleveland Browns
2026 season · 8 games
5–3
Record
17.4
Points / game
21.6
Allowed / game
New Orleans Saints
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
27.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 10.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+103
Current
+106
Change
+3
Best available moved from +103 to +106. That pays $3.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Caesars Superdome
- New Orleans, LA · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 65°F0% precipitationGusts 12 mph
Game-day inactives
New Orleans Saints
Zach Wilson
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Mason Murphy
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Mike Reid
CB · Coach's Decision ·
John Ridgeway III
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Jaylan Ford
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Cleveland Browns
Taylen Green
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Deshaun Watson
QB · Concussion ·
Noah Igbinoghene
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Justin Jefferson
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Parker Brailsford
C · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- NO -4.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- New Orleans Saints
- −225
- Cleveland Browns
- +185
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- New Orleans Saints
- 68%
- Cleveland Browns
- 32%
New Orleans Saints by 4.7
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- NFL: Charlie Smyth to return as starting New Orleans Saints kicker this weekend (opens in a new tab)
Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
New Orleans Saints head coach Kellen Moore confirms Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
bbc.co.uk · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Christen Miller
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Cleveland Browns
Maliek Collins
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 carries?
Alvin Kamara hit under 10.5 carries in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Alvin Kamara Under 10.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.