Bobby Okereke
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop DEN Pending
Bo Nix Under 4.5 Carries
The bet: Under 4.5 carries
DEN@CAR Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 4.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 4.1
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Under 4.5 carries | 4 carries | −146 | hit |
| Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | Under 4.5 carries | 4 carries | −146 | hit |
| Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | San Francisco 49ers | Under 4.5 carries | 2 carries | −126 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 5
- 4
- 2
- 4
- 4
- 7
- 3
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
4.1vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Bo Nix carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsKC | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 25 | @ARI | Miss | 7 |
| Oct 15 | vsSEA | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Miss | 5 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Denver Broncos
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
21.5
Points / game
20.6
Allowed / game
Carolina Panthers
2026 season · 7 games
3–4
Record
25.4
Points / game
27.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Not enough recorded updates to chart price history.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Bryce Young, Dave Canales seem to disagree about QB's knee injury after Panthers' loss to Packers (opens in a new tab)
Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young took six sacks
Bryce Young, Dave Canales seem to disagree about QB's knee injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Carolina Panthers
Brady Christensen
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Denver Broncos
Brandon Jones
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Eyioma Uwazurike
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Bo Nix Under 4.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Bo Nix Under 4.5 carries?
Bo Nix hit under 4.5 carries in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.