DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop PHI Settled: Hit
The bet: Under 17.5 carries
You checked 17.5, an alternate line. Most books: 16.5.
Price as of Oct 2, 1:15 PM ET −105 at BetMGM
3 of 3 decided (100%) · last 3 games
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Saquon Barkley hit under 17.5 carries in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 2.
Closing price −105 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | Los Angeles Rams | 17.5 | −105 | hit |
3of3
(100%)
Sep 13 – Sep 28
Carries per game, oldest to newest
11.3vs 17.5 line
Based on 3 games
Saquon Barkley carries over the last 3 games versus a line of 17.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | @CHI | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 20 | @TEN | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 13 | vsWAS | Hit | 15 |
Closing price: BetMGM −105 · 9¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 2, 1:15 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.5
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
17.7
Points / game
22.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−108
Current
−105
Change
+3
Best available moved from −108 to −105. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
Philadelphia Eagles
Lane Johnson
OT · Personal ·
Cole Payton
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Fred Johnson
OT · Knee ·
Marcus Epps
S · Groin ·
Dallas Goedert
TE · Knee - MCL ·
Los Angeles Rams
Ty Simpson
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Colby Parkinson
TE · Shoulder - AC Joint ·
Jaylen Watson
CB · Shoulder ·
Cam Lampkin
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Bill Murray
G · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Los Angeles Rams by 3.8
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Hollywood Brown
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Aaron Donald
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
CJ Daniels
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Saquon Barkley hit under 17.5 carries in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%). Last seen is −105 at BetMGM.
Saquon Barkley hit under 17.5 carries in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
−105 at BetMGM was the recorded closing price for Saquon Barkley Under 17.5 carries.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.