Albert Regis
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop JAX Settled: Hit
The bet: Under 3.5 carries
Stayed under 3.5 in 3 of his last 4
Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Oct 4L4 average 2.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Price as of Oct 11, 9:06 AM ET −105 at theScore Bet
Opened −120 at DraftKings, closed −105
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Verified facts
Trevor Lawrence hit under 3.5 carries in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 3.
Closing price −105 at theScore Bet. Pregame evidence: 3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Carries per game, oldest to newest
2.8vs 3.5 line
Based on 4 games
Trevor Lawrence carries over the last 4 games versus a line of 3.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @CIN | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsNE | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 20 | @DEN | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 13 | vsCLE | Hit | 2 |
Closing price: theScore Bet −105 · 6¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 11, 9:06 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 8 games
2–6
Record
17.1
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
25.7
Points / game
17.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−120
Current
−105
Change
+15
Best available moved from −120 to −105. That pays $11.91 more on a $100 bet than at open.
Pregame research captured
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These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Albert Regis
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Alijah Huzzie
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Drew Kendall
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Trevor Lawrence hit under 3.5 carries in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Last seen is −105 at theScore Bet.
Trevor Lawrence hit under 3.5 carries in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−105 at theScore Bet was the recorded closing price for Trevor Lawrence Under 3.5 carries.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 9:30 AM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.