Demond Claiborne
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
Today's check
Aaron Jones Over 10.5 Longest Rush
The bet: Over 10.5 longest rush
BUF@MIN Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 10.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 14.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 8
- 20
- 14
- 19
- 19
- 17
- 7
Longest Rush per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
14.9vs 10.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Aaron Jones longest rush over the last 7 games versus a line of 10.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 10.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Rush |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Miss | 7 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Hit | 17 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 19 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 19 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 14 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 8 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Aaron Jones
- Longest rush per game
- 14.9
Season · 7 games
Aaron Jones
JONES · TEAM CARRY SHARE
55.3%
2026 regular season7 games
JONES · CARRIES PER GAME
15.7per game
2026 regular season7 games
Buffalo Bills
BUF allows
81.4rush yds allowed/game to RBs
11th fewest (L4: 10th fewest)7 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 10.5 longest rush
Best price
Odds format
Open
−115
Current
−115
Change
0
Best available moved from −115 to −115. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury Recent stories suggested that the Minnesota Vikings could at least consider making a move to land Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Minnesota Vikings
Jauan Jennings
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Jordan Hancock
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Joshua Palmer
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 10.5 longest rush at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 10.5 longest rush?
Aaron Jones hit over 10.5 longest rush in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.