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Aaron Jones Over 15.5 Longest Rush

The bet: Over 15.5 longest rush

You checked 15.5, an alternate line. Most books: 10.5.

BUF@MIN Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

Cleared 15.5 in 4 of his last 7

4of7(57%)

Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 14.9

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

This week's line isn't posted yet

Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.

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Past games

DateOpponentLineActualClosing priceResult
Oct 11, 1:00 PM ETNew Orleans SaintsOver 15.5 longest rush19 longest rush−105hit

Hit rate vs the line

4of7

(57%)

Sep 13 – Nov 1

  1. 8
  2. 20
  3. 14
  4. 19
  5. 19
  6. 17
  7. 7

Longest Rush per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

14.9vs 15.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Aaron Jones longest rush over the last 7 games versus a line of 15.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 15.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultLongest Rush
Nov 1@DET
Miss
7
Oct 25vsIND
Hit
17
Oct 11@NO
Hit
19
Oct 4vsMIA
Hit
19
Sep 27@TB
Miss
14
Sep 20@CHI
Hit
20
Sep 13vsGB
Miss
8

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Aaron Jones

Longest rush per game

Season · 7 games

14.9

Aaron Jones

JONES · CARRIES PER GAME

15.7per game

2026 regular season7 games

Buffalo Bills

BUF allows

81.4rush yds allowed/game to RBs

11th fewest (L4: 10th fewest)7 games

BUF · RUSHING YARDS

98.4yds/game

2026 regular seasonL5

Market movement

News and availability

Matchup updates

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Frequently asked

What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 15.5 longest rush at this number?

Aaron Jones hit over 15.5 longest rush in 4 of his last 7 tracked games (57%).

What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 15.5 longest rush?

Aaron Jones hit over 15.5 longest rush in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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