Adam Randall
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop BAL Pending
Today's check
Derrick Henry Under 14.5 Longest Rush
The bet: Under 14.5 longest rush
JAX@BAL Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 14.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 14.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 8
- 29
- 14
- 11
- 17
- 9
- 12
Longest Rush per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
14.3vs 14.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Derrick Henry longest rush over the last 7 games versus a line of 14.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 14.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Rush |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @BUF | Hit | 12 |
| Oct 25 | vsCIN | Hit | 9 |
| Oct 18 | @CLE | Miss | 17 |
| Oct 11 | @ATL | Hit | 11 |
| Oct 4 | vsTEN | Hit | 14 |
| Sep 27 | vsDAL(neutral) | Miss | 29 |
| Sep 20 | vsNO | Hit | 8 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Derrick Henry
- Longest rush per game
- 16.5
Season · 8 games
Derrick Henry
HENRY · TEAM CARRY SHARE
68.4%
2026 regular season8 games
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX allows
57.7rush yds allowed/game to RBs
1st fewest (L4: T-2nd fewest)7 games
Game
Rest
4days rest, both teams
BAL 4, JAX 4
Market movement
Price history
Under 14.5 longest rush
Best price
Odds format
Open
−125
Current
−117
Change
+8
Best available moved from −125 to −117. That pays $5.47 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Jacoby Brissett trade: Ravens strike deal for Cardinals QB amid injury crisis (opens in a new tab)
The Ravens have agreed to trade for Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett after injuries devastated Baltimore's quarterback room.
cbssports.com · · Availability report
- Ravens quarterback out for season after tests reveal extent of injury (opens in a new tab)
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Tyler “Snoop” Huntley suffered a season-ending turf toe injury against the Buffalo Bills.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Baltimore Ravens
Jaylinn Hawkins
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DaVon Hamilton
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Eric Murray
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Derrick Henry Under 14.5 longest rush at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Derrick Henry Under 14.5 longest rush?
Derrick Henry hit under 14.5 longest rush in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.