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NFL player prop NYG Pending

J.J. McCarthy Under 11.5 Longest Rush vs. Commanders

The bet: Under 11.5 longest rush

You checked 11.5, an alternate line. Most books: 10.5.

WAS@NYG Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET

Stayed under 11.5 in 3 of his last 4

3of4(75%)

Last 4 gamesOct 11 to Nov 8L4 average 10.5

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

3of4

(75%)

Oct 11 – Nov 8

  1. 2
  2. 28
  3. 1
  4. 11

Longest Rush per game, oldest to newest

L4 average

10.5vs 11.5 line

Based on 4 games

Game results

J.J. McCarthy longest rush over the last 4 games versus a line of 11.5.

Results versus the line

L4
HitMissLine 11.5
Game log · L4, newest first
DateOpponentResultLongest Rush
Nov 8@PHI
Hit
11
Oct 25@HOU
Hit
1
Oct 18vsNO
Miss
28
Oct 11@WAS
Hit
2

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

J.J. McCarthy

Longest rush per game

Season · 4 games

10.5

J.J. McCarthy

MCCARTHY · TEAM CARRY SHARE

8%

2026 regular season4 games

Washington Commanders

WAS allows

79.1rush yds allowed/game to RBs

11th fewest (L4: 14th fewest)8 games

Game

Rest

4days rest, both teams

NYG 4, WAS 4Divisional game

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

The latest saved updates may be out of date.

Research refreshed

Latest sourced reports

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

New York Giants

J.J. McCarthy

questionable

Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Washington Commanders

Colson Yankoff

out

Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about J.J. McCarthy Under 11.5 longest rush at this number?

J.J. McCarthy hit under 11.5 longest rush in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Last seen is −122 at BetRivers.

What is the historical hit rate for J.J. McCarthy Under 11.5 longest rush?

J.J. McCarthy hit under 11.5 longest rush in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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