Anfernee Jennings
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop MIN Settled: Hit
Aaron Jones Over 79.5 Rush + Reception Yards vs. Saints
The bet: Over 79.5 rush + reception yards
You checked 79.5, an alternate line. Most books: 95.5.
MIN@NO Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 79.5 in 3 of his last 4
Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Oct 4L4 average 91.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 79.5 rush + reception yards won.
Final: 117.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 40
- 105
- 92
- 128
Rush + Rec Yds per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
91.3vs 79.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Aaron Jones rush + rec yds over the last 4 games versus a line of 79.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 79.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rush + Rec Yds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 128 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 92 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 105 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 40 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Minnesota Vikings
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
20
Points / game
13.3
Allowed / game
New Orleans Saints
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
27.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 79.5 rush + reception yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−208
Current
−239
Change
−31
Best available moved from −208 to −239. That pays $6.24 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Vikings facing Odell Beckham Jr. decision after Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison injury updates (opens in a new tab)
Vikings facing Odell Beckham Jr. decision after Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison injury updates
Vikings facing Odell Beckham Jr. decision after Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison injury updates
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Jeremiah Wright
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Minnesota Vikings
Charles Demmings
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Christian Darrisaw
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 79.5 rush + reception yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 79.5 rush + reception yards?
Aaron Jones hit over 79.5 rush + reception yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Aaron Jones Over 79.5 rush + reception yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.