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Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 Rushing Yards
The bet: Over 4.5 rushing yards
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 0.5.
Odds and past results
Price as of Oct 29, 9:18 AM ET +225 at FanDuel · Updating prices...
2 of 7 decided (29%) · last 7 games
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Matthew Stafford averaged 4 rushing yards across 5 stored games, below the 4.5 line. He had 1.6 rushing attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved statistics.
- Rushing attempts
- 1.6 per game
- Stored sample 5 games. Season: 2 per game over 7 games (including these 5).
- Yards gained per rushing attempt
- 1.8 yards
- Stored sample 5 games. Season average: 1.2 yards per chance across 7 games.
The opponent: Los Angeles Chargers allowed 104.8 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | Over 4.5 rushing yards | 0 rushing yards | +162 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
2of7
(29%)
Sep 10 – Oct 25
- -1
- -1
- 13
- 10
- 0
- 0
- -3
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
2.6vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Matthew Stafford rushing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @LV | Miss | -3 |
| Oct 18 | vsARI | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 12 | vsBUF | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Miss | -1 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | -1 |
Sportsbooks
Price as of Oct 29, 9:18 AM ET: FanDuel +225
Prices as of Oct 29, 9:18 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Matthew Stafford
- Rushing yards per game
- 2.6
Season · 7 games
Matthew Stafford
STAFFORD · TEAM CARRY SHARE
7.5%
2026 regular season · 7 games
STAFFORD · CARRIES PER GAME
2per game
2026 regular season · 7 games
Los Angeles Chargers
LAC · RUSHING YARDS
125.4yds/game
2026 regular season · L5
Market movement
Price history
+225 at FanDuel
Updating prices...Not enough recorded updates to chart the best price yet.
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 rushing yards at this number?
Matthew Stafford hit over 4.5 rushing yards in 2 of his last 7 tracked games (29%). Last seen is +225 at FanDuel.
What is the historical hit rate for Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 rushing yards?
Matthew Stafford hit over 4.5 rushing yards in 2 of 7 games across the last 7 games (29% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.