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Sam Darnold Over 4.5 Rushing Yards
The bet: Over 4.5 rushing yards
Cleared 4.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 9 to Nov 2L7 average 10.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET | Chicago Bears | Over 4.5 rushing yards | 20 rushing yards | −114 | hit |
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Denver Broncos | Over 4.5 rushing yards | 19 rushing yards | −118 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 9 – Nov 2
- 0
- 5
- 6
- 5
- 19
- 17
- 20
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
10.3vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Sam Darnold rushing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vsCHI | Hit | 20 |
| Oct 25 | vsKC | Hit | 17 |
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Hit | 19 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Miss | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Team comparison
Arizona Cardinals
2026 season · 8 games
3–5
Record
21.9
Points / game
29.8
Allowed / game
Seattle Seahawks
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
23.1
Points / game
19.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
News and availability
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Sam Darnold Over 4.5 rushing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Sam Darnold Over 4.5 rushing yards?
Sam Darnold hit over 4.5 rushing yards in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.