CJ Donaldson
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NO Final · result not graded yet
Alvin Kamara Under 39.5 Rushing Yards vs. Browns
The bet: Under 39.5 rushing yards
You checked 39.5, an alternate line. Most books: 34.5.
CLE@NO Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 39.5 in 6 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 20 to Oct 25L6 average 20.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Final · result not graded yet
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Hit rate vs the line
6of6
(100%)
Sep 20 – Oct 25
- 15
- 36
- 23
- 12
- 34
- 5
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
20.8vs 39.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Alvin Kamara rushing yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 39.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 39.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsPIT(neutral) | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 18 | @NYG | Hit | 34 |
| Oct 11 | vsMIN | Hit | 12 |
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 36 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Hit | 15 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Cleveland Browns
2026 season · 8 games
5–3
Record
17.4
Points / game
21.6
Allowed / game
New Orleans Saints
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
27.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 39.5 rushing yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−105
Current
−113
Change
−8
Best available moved from −105 to −113. That pays $6.74 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Caesars Superdome
- New Orleans, LA · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 65°F0% precipitationGusts 12 mph
Game-day inactives
New Orleans Saints
Zach Wilson
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Mason Murphy
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Mike Reid
CB · Coach's Decision ·
John Ridgeway III
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Jaylan Ford
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Cleveland Browns
Taylen Green
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Deshaun Watson
QB · Concussion ·
Noah Igbinoghene
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Justin Jefferson
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Parker Brailsford
C · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- NO -4.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- New Orleans Saints
- −225
- Cleveland Browns
- +185
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- New Orleans Saints
- 68%
- Cleveland Browns
- 32%
New Orleans Saints by 4.7
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- NFL: Charlie Smyth to return as starting New Orleans Saints kicker this weekend (opens in a new tab)
Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
New Orleans Saints head coach Kellen Moore confirms Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
bbc.co.uk · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Christen Miller
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Cleveland Browns
Maliek Collins
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Alvin Kamara Under 39.5 rushing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Alvin Kamara Under 39.5 rushing yards?
Alvin Kamara hit under 39.5 rushing yards in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Alvin Kamara Under 39.5 rushing yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.