Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop DEN Settled: Hit
The bet: Under 11.5 rushing yards
You checked 11.5, an alternate line. Most books: 13.5.
Price as of Oct 13, 6:19 PM ET −115 at BetMGM
Opened −115 at BetMGM, closed −115
5 of 5 decided (100%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Bo Nix averaged 20.4 rushing yards across 5 stored games, above the 11.5 line. He had 4.2 rushing attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
Showing saved research.
Final: 2.
Closing price −115 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: 5 of 5 decided (100%) · last 5 games.
5of5
(100%)
Sep 14 – Oct 11
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
7.0vs 11.5 line
Based on 5 games
Bo Nix rushing yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 11.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 14 | @KC | Hit | 2 |
Closing price: BetMGM −115
Prices as of Oct 13, 6:19 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
24
Points / game
17.9
Allowed / game
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.1
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−115
Current
−115
Change
0
Best available moved from −115 to −115. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jordan Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Avery Smith
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Bo Nix hit under 11.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%). Last seen is −115 at BetMGM.
Bo Nix hit under 11.5 rushing yards in 5 of 5 games across the last 5 games (100% hit rate).
−115 at BetMGM was the recorded closing price for Bo Nix Under 11.5 rushing yards.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.