DeMonte Capehart
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop TB Settled: Hit
Kenny Gainwell Under 16.5 Rushing Yards vs. Packers
The bet: Under 16.5 rushing yards
You checked 16.5, an alternate line. Most books: 14.5.
GB@TB Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 16.5 rushing yards won.
Final: 5.
Hit rate vs the line
3of3
(100%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
- 15
- 10
- -4
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
7.0vs 16.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Kenny Gainwell rushing yards over the last 3 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | vsMIN | Hit | -4 |
| Sep 20 | vsCLE | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 13 | @CIN | Hit | 15 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Green Bay Packers
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.7
Allowed / game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
21.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 16.5 rushing yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−115
Current
−114
Change
+1
Best available moved from −115 to −114. That pays $0.76 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Tampa, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 87°F49% precipitationGusts 10 mph
Game-day inactives
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Billy Schrauth
G · Coach's Decision ·
Ko Kieft
TE · Elbow ·
Baker Mayfield
QB · Thumb ·
Benjamin Morrison
CB · Quadriceps ·
Luke Haggard
G · Coach's Decision ·
Green Bay Packers
Kevin Zeitler
G · Coach's Decision ·
Jacob Monk
C · Quadriceps ·
Aaron Banks
G · Toe ·
Anthony Campbell
DT · Ankle ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- GB -3
- Game total
- 38.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- +130
- Green Bay Packers
- −155
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- 32%
- Green Bay Packers
- 68%
Green Bay Packers by 4.8
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Bucs elevate Easton Stick to be backup QB vs. Packers (opens in a new tab)
Bucs elevate Easton Stick to be backup QB vs. Packers The Tampa Bay Buccaneers elevated Easton Stick off the practice squad Saturday to be their backup quarterback for Sunday's home game against the Green Bay Packe...
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers elevated Easton Stick off the practice squad Saturday to be their backup quarterback for Sunday's home game against the Green Bay Packe...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jalen McMillan
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Green Bay Packers
Jayden Reed
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Micah Parsons
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Kenny Gainwell Under 16.5 rushing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Kenny Gainwell Under 16.5 rushing yards?
Kenny Gainwell hit under 16.5 rushing yards in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Kenny Gainwell Under 16.5 rushing yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.