
NBA player prop HOU Settled: Miss
Amen Thompson Over 14.5 Points vs. Celtics
The bet: Over 14.5 points
You checked 14.5, an alternate line. Most books: 15.5.
Cleared 14.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesOct 22 to Nov 1L7 average 16.0
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Hit 5 of 7 tracked games
Odds and past results
Price as of Nov 2, 8:33 PM ET −129 at DraftKings
Opened −138 at DraftKings, closed −129
5 of 7 decided (71%) · last 7 games
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Amen Thompson hit over 14.5 points in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%).
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 14.5 points lost.
Final: 14.
Closing price −129 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: 5 of 7 decided (71%) · last 7 games.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Oct 22 – Nov 1
- 20
- 17
- 15
- 23
- 15
- 8
- 14
Points per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
16.0vs 14.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Amen Thompson points over the last 7 games versus a line of 14.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vs | Miss | 14 |
| Oct 30 | vsOKC | Miss | 8 |
| Oct 29 | @DAL | Hit | 15 |
| Oct 27 | @MIL | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 25 | vsATL | Hit | 15 |
| Oct 23 | @ATL | Hit | 17 |
| Oct 22 | @SAS | Hit | 20 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: DraftKings −129 · 19¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Nov 2, 8:33 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−138
Current
−129
Change
+9
Best available moved from −138 to −129. That pays $5.06 more on a $100 bet than at open.
Supporting context
Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.
| Window | Average points | vs 14.5 line |
|---|---|---|
| L5 | 15.0 | +0.5 |
Games played
11
Pts L1
8
Pts Avg
14.9
Pts Avg L3
12
Pts Avg L5
11.6
Pts Avg L7
13.7
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Amen Thompson Over 14.5 points at this number?
Amen Thompson hit over 14.5 points in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%). Last seen is −129 at DraftKings.
What is the historical hit rate for Amen Thompson Over 14.5 points?
Amen Thompson hit over 14.5 points in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Amen Thompson Over 14.5 points?
−129 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Amen Thompson Over 14.5 points.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:40 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.