
NBA player prop MIL Settled: Miss
Tyler Herro Over 18.5 Points vs. Celtics
The bet: Over 18.5 points
You checked 18.5, an alternate line. Most books: 19.5.
Cleared 18.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesOct 25 to Nov 7L7 average 20.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Hit 5 of 7 tracked games
Odds and past results
Price as of Nov 8, 7:48 PM ET −140 at Fanatics
Opened −150 at Fanatics, closed −140
5 of 7 decided (71%) · last 7 games
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Tyler Herro hit over 18.5 points in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%).
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 18.5 points lost.
Final: 13.
Closing price −140 at Fanatics. Pregame evidence: 5 of 7 decided (71%) · last 7 games.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Oct 25 – Nov 7
- 23
- 23
- 15
- 21
- 25
- 23
- 13
Points per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
20.4vs 18.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Tyler Herro points over the last 7 games versus a line of 18.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | Miss | 13 |
| Nov 5 | vsTOR | Hit | 23 |
| Nov 3 | @ | Hit | 25 |
| Nov 1 | @MIN | Hit | 21 |
| Oct 30 | vsCLE | Miss | 15 |
| Oct 27 | vsHOU | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Hit | 23 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: Fanatics −140 · 30¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Nov 8, 7:48 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−150
Current
−140
Change
+10
Best available moved from −150 to −140. That pays $4.76 more on a $100 bet than at open.
Supporting context
Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.
| Window | Average points | vs 18.5 line |
|---|---|---|
| L5 | 19.4 | +0.9 |
| L10 | 21.4 | +2.9 |
Games played
10
Pts L1
13
Pts Avg
21.4
Pts Avg L3
20.3
Pts Avg L5
19.4
Pts Avg L7
20.4
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Tyler Herro Over 18.5 points at this number?
Tyler Herro hit over 18.5 points in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%). Last seen is −140 at Fanatics.
What is the historical hit rate for Tyler Herro Over 18.5 points?
Tyler Herro hit over 18.5 points in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Tyler Herro Over 18.5 points?
−140 at Fanatics was the recorded closing price for Tyler Herro Over 18.5 points.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.