Skip to main content
Ildemaro Vargas headshot

Ildemaro Vargas

Total Bases·Under 1.5·WAS @ ARI

9:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Total Bases a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Ildemaro Vargas has hit the under 1.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+148· BetRivers

Best Under

−165· theScore Bet

Updated 13h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Ildemaro Vargas vs 1.5: recent track record

Recent games for Ildemaro Vargas total bases vs line 1.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -2.5%
Fresh 22 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1010%(1/10)
Under
EV -5.4%
Fresh 13h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season100%(7/7)

Games Played

55

OPS

0.754

Tb L1

0

Tb Avg L3

0.333

Tb Avg L5

0.4

Tb Avg L7

0.429

Tb Avg L10

0.6

Tb Avg

1.709

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Ildemaro Vargas 2+ Total Bases

6 updates4 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Total Bases

3 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Total Bases a good bet at this number?

Ildemaro Vargas has hit the under 1.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Ildemaro Vargas's hit rate on this prop?

Ildemaro Vargas went Under 1.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5?

−165 at theScore Bet is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after WAS @ ARI (scheduled for 9:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.