NFL player prop BUF Settled: Miss
Josh Allen Over 4.5 Passing TDs vs. Lions
The bet: Over 4.5 passing tds
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
Odds and past results
Price as of Sep 17, 8:09 PM ET +2300 at DraftKings
Opened +1400 at Caesars, closed +2300
0 of 1 decided (0%) · last 1 games
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Josh Allen didn't hit over 4.5 passing tds in his last game.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 4.5 passing tds lost.
Final: 3.
Closing price +2300 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: 0 of 1 decided (0%) · last 1 games.
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: DraftKings +2300 · 900¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Sep 17, 8:09 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Detroit Lions
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
30.7
Points / game
27.5
Allowed / game
Buffalo Bills
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
Game results
Fewer than 2 game results are available for this market. Check back after more games are recorded.
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
+1400
Current
+2300
Change
+900
Best available moved from +1400 to +2300. That pays $900.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Josh Allen Over 4.5 passing tds at this number?
Josh Allen didn't hit over 4.5 passing tds in his last game. Last seen is +2300 at DraftKings.
What is the historical hit rate for Josh Allen Over 4.5 passing tds?
Josh Allen hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of 1 games across the last 1 games.
What is the closing price for Josh Allen Over 4.5 passing tds?
+2300 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Josh Allen Over 4.5 passing tds.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.