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Josh Allen Over 4.5 Passing TDs
The bet: Over 4.5 passing tds
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
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Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Los Angeles Rams | Over 4.5 passing tds | 1 passing tds | +2000 | miss |
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | New England Patriots | Over 4.5 passing tds | 1 passing tds | +2600 | miss |
| Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | Over 4.5 passing tds | 0 passing tds | +2300 | miss |
| Sep 17, 8:15 PM ET | Detroit Lions | Over 4.5 passing tds | 3 passing tds | +2300 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
0of6
(0%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
- 2
- 3
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 2
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
1.5vs 4.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Josh Allen passing tds over the last 6 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @LV | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 12 | @LA | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Miss | 1 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Miss | 2 |
Sportsbooks
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Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Josh Allen
- Passing touchdowns per game
- 1.5
Season · 6 games
Josh Allen
ALLEN · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
19per game
2026 regular season · 6 games
Baltimore Ravens
BAL PASS RUSH
2.2sacks/game by BAL defense
Last 5 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, BUF
BUF 14, BAL 7
Market movement
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Josh Allen Over 4.5 passing tds at this number?
Josh Allen hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of his last 6 tracked games (0%).
What is the historical hit rate for Josh Allen Over 4.5 passing tds?
Josh Allen hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (0% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.