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Sam Darnold Over 4.5 Passing TDs
The bet: Over 4.5 passing tds
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Denver Broncos | Over 4.5 passing tds | 0 passing tds | +1600 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
0of6
(0%)
Sep 9 – Oct 25
- 0
- 4
- 2
- 1
- 0
- 1
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
1.3vs 4.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Sam Darnold passing tds over the last 6 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsKC | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Miss | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Sam Darnold
- Passing touchdowns per game
- 1.3
Season · 6 games
Sam Darnold
DARNOLD · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
18.3per game
2026 regular season6 games
Chicago Bears
CHI PASS RUSH
2.8sacks/game by CHI defense
Last 5 games
Game
Rest
+3days rest, CHI
SEA 8, CHI 11
Market movement
Price history
Open
+2800
Current
+2800
Change
0
Best available moved from +2800 to +2800. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Matchup updates
News check is unavailable right now.
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Sam Darnold Over 4.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Sam Darnold Over 4.5 passing tds?
Sam Darnold hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (0% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.