Dallen Bentley
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Miss
Sam Darnold Over 4.5 Passing TDs vs. Broncos
The bet: Over 4.5 passing tds
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.
SEA@DEN Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 4.5 passing tds lost.
Final: 0.
Hit rate vs the line
0of4
(0%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
- 0
- 4
- 2
- 1
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
1.8vs 4.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Sam Darnold passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Miss | 0 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Seattle Seahawks
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
24
Points / game
17.9
Allowed / game
Denver Broncos
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.1
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 4.5 passing tds
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+2000
Current
+1600
Change
−400
Best available moved from +2000 to +1600. That pays $400.00 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Jordan Jackson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Seattle Seahawks
Avery Smith
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Sam Darnold Over 4.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Sam Darnold Over 4.5 passing tds?
Sam Darnold hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (0% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Sam Darnold Over 4.5 passing tds?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.