Jon Gaines II
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop DEN Settled: Hit
Bo Nix Under 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Cardinals
The bet: Under 1.5 passing tds
DEN@ARI Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 1.5 passing tds won.
Final: 1.
Hit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 14 – Oct 15
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 0
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
1.0vs 1.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Bo Nix passing tds over the last 6 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | vsSEA | Hit | 0 |
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 14 | @KC | Hit | 1 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Denver Broncos
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.1
Allowed / game
Arizona Cardinals
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
20.3
Points / game
29.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 1.5 passing tds
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−144
Current
−110
Change
+34
Best available moved from −144 to −110. That pays $21.47 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- State Farm Stadium
- Glendale, AZ · Grass
- Forecast
- 78°F0% precipitationGusts 6 mph
Game-day inactives
Arizona Cardinals
Max Melton
CB · Knee ·
Carson Beck
QB · Back ·
Andrew Wingard
S · Knee ·
Albert Reese IV
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Jeremiyah Love
RB · Ankle ·
Denver Broncos
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Pat Surtain II
CB · Ankle ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Talanoa Hufanga
S · Ankle ·
Jordan Jackson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- DEN -4.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- Arizona Cardinals
- +195
- Denver Broncos
- −238
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Arizona Cardinals
- 31%
- Denver Broncos
- 69%
Denver Broncos by 5
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Broncos' Bo Nix acknowledges 'mental aspect' of returning from injury amid rumors about his future (opens in a new tab)
Recent rumors suggested that Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton could be a game or two away from benching struggling starting quarterback Bo Nix in favor of ...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Why The Broncos' Offense Is Still Struggling After Sean Payton Took Over Playcalling (opens in a new tab)
The Denver Broncos' offense, specifically quarterback Bo Nix, has struggled this season and a change in playcallers has not helped so far.
foxsports.com · · Matchup report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Arizona Cardinals
Denver Broncos
Dallen Bentley
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jonah Elliss
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Bo Nix Under 1.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Bo Nix Under 1.5 passing tds?
Bo Nix hit under 1.5 passing tds in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Bo Nix Under 1.5 passing tds?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.