Isiah Pacheco
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Settled: Miss
Kyler Murray Under 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Lions
The bet: Under 1.5 passing tds
MIN@DET Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 1.5 in 5 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L5 average 0.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 1.5 passing tds lost.
Final: 2.
Hit rate vs the line
5of5
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 1
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
0.6vs 1.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Kyler Murray passing tds over the last 5 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 0 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Minnesota Vikings
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
20
Points / game
13.3
Allowed / game
Detroit Lions
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
29
Points / game
25.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 1.5 passing tds
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−174
Current
−140
Change
+34
Best available moved from −174 to −140. That pays $13.96 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Ford Field
- Detroit, MI · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 65°F0% precipitationGusts 7 mph
Game-day inactives
Detroit Lions
Mekhi Wingo
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Seth McLaughlin
C · Coach's Decision ·
Jackson Meeks
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Ahmed Hassanein
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Bishop Fitzgerald
S · Coach's Decision ·
Minnesota Vikings
Jakobe Thomas
S · Coach's Decision ·
Caleb Tiernan
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Elijah Williams
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Max Brosmer
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Demond Claiborne
RB · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- DET -3
- Game total
- 46.5
- Detroit Lions
- −170
- Minnesota Vikings
- +142
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Detroit Lions
- 56%
- Minnesota Vikings
- 44%
Detroit Lions by 1.4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Detroit Lions
Kerby Joseph
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Minnesota Vikings
Charles Demmings
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Kyler Murray Under 1.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Kyler Murray Under 1.5 passing tds?
Kyler Murray hit under 1.5 passing tds in 5 of 5 games across the last 5 games (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Kyler Murray Under 1.5 passing tds?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.