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Bo Nix Under 206.5 Passing Yards
The bet: Under 206.5 passing yards
You checked 206.5, an alternate line. Most books: 202.5.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Under 206.5 passing yards | 107 passing yards | −125 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
4of7
(57%)
Sep 14 – Oct 25
- 131
- 288
- 186
- 214
- 123
- 107
- 222
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
181.6vs 206.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Bo Nix passing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 206.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @ARI | Miss | 222 |
| Oct 15 | vsSEA | Hit | 107 |
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Hit | 123 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Miss | 214 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Hit | 186 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Miss | 288 |
| Sep 14 | @KC | Hit | 131 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Bo Nix
- Passing yards per game
- 181.6
Season · 7 games
Bo Nix
NIX · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
18.4per game
2026 regular season7 games
NIX · PASS ATTEMPTS PER GAME
31.1per game
2026 regular season7 games
Kansas City Chiefs
KC PASS RUSH
0.8sacks/game by KC defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Open
−114
Current
−114
Change
0
Best available moved from −114 to −114. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
News and availability
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Bo Nix Under 206.5 passing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Bo Nix Under 206.5 passing yards?
Bo Nix hit under 206.5 passing yards in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.