Sam Darnold
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
NFL player prop SEA Pending
Upcoming check
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Over 25.5 longest reception
ARI@SEA Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 25.5 in 7 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 2L7 average 40.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | Over 25.5 longest reception | 28 longest reception | −120 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
7of7
(100%)
Sep 20 – Nov 2
- 82
- 26
- 28
- 38
- 32
- 33
- 43
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
40.3vs 25.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 25.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 25.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | vsCHI | Hit | 43 |
| Oct 25 | vsKC | Hit | 33 |
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Hit | 32 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 38 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 28 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 26 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Hit | 82 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Longest reception per game
- 40.9
Season · 8 games
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SMITH-NJIGBA · TEAM TARGET SHARE
35.7%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
SMITH-NJIGBA · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
51.7%
2026 regular season8 games
Arizona Cardinals
ARI allows
151.5rec yds allowed/game to WRs
12th most (L4: 16th most)8 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 25.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−117
Current
−117
Change
0
Best available moved from −117 to −117. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Sam Darnold out vs. Cardinals in sudden Seahawks injury worry (opens in a new tab)
Seahawks QB Sam Darnold is ruled out against the Cardinals due to a quad injury.
Backup Drew Lock will start Sunday for Seattle.
nypost.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Seattle Seahawks
Anthony Bradford
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Arizona Cardinals
Isaiah Adams
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
James Conner
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 25.5 longest reception in 7 of 7 games across the last 7 games (100% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.