Jadarian Price
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Hit
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 Longest Reception vs. Chargers
The bet: Over 25.5 longest reception
You checked 25.5, an alternate line. Most books: 28.5.
LAC@SEA Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 25.5 in 3 of his last 3
Last 3 gamesSep 9 to Sep 27L3 average 51.0
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 25.5 longest reception won.
Final: 28.
Hit rate vs the line
3of3
(100%)
Sep 9 – Sep 27
- 45
- 82
- 26
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
51.0vs 25.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over the last 3 games versus a line of 25.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 25.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 26 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Hit | 82 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 45 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Los Angeles Chargers
2026 season · 7 games
0–7
Record
14.1
Points / game
25
Allowed / game
Seattle Seahawks
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
23.1
Points / game
19.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 25.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−120
Current
−120
Change
0
Best available moved from −120 to −120. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Lumen Field
- Seattle, WA · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 63°F40% precipitationGusts 7 mph
Game-day inactives
Seattle Seahawks
Ty Okada
S · Hamstring ·
Jalen Milroe
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Avery Smith
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Chazz Surratt
LB · Calf ·
Brandon Pili
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Los Angeles Chargers
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
DJ Uiagalelei
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Dalvin Tomlinson
DT · Hamstring ·
Charlie Kolar
TE · Forearm ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- SEA -7
- Game total
- 42.5
- Seattle Seahawks
- −345
- Los Angeles Chargers
- +275
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Seattle Seahawks
- 74%
- Los Angeles Chargers
- 26%
Seattle Seahawks by 6.8
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Report: Seahawks place first-round running back Jadarian Price on IR (opens in a new tab)
First-round pick Jadarian Price was placed on IR Saturday due to a chest injury sustained in practice, ESPN's Adam Schefter reported.
Report: Seahawks place first-round running back Jadarian Price on IR
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Seattle Seahawks
Montorie Foster Jr.
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Los Angeles Chargers
Alex Harkey
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 25.5 longest reception in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.