Dallen Bentley
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Hit
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 28.5 Longest Reception vs. Broncos
The bet: Over 28.5 longest reception
SEA@DEN Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 28.5 in 3 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 9 to Oct 11L5 average 43.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 28.5 longest reception won.
Final: 32.
Hit rate vs the line
3of5
(60%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
- 45
- 82
- 26
- 28
- 38
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
43.8vs 28.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over the last 5 games versus a line of 28.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 28.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 38 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 28 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 26 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Hit | 82 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 45 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Seattle Seahawks
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
23.1
Points / game
19.9
Allowed / game
Denver Broncos
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
21.5
Points / game
20.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 28.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−111
Current
−109
Change
+2
Best available moved from −111 to −109. That pays $1.65 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Jordan Jackson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Seattle Seahawks
Avery Smith
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 28.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 28.5 longest reception?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 28.5 longest reception in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 28.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.