Dallen Bentley
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Hit
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 10.5 Receptions vs. Broncos
The bet: Over 10.5 receptions
You checked 10.5, an alternate line. Most books: 6.5.
SEA@DEN Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 10.5 in 0 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 9 to Oct 11L5 average 7.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 10.5 receptions won.
Final: 12.
Hit rate vs the line
0of5
(0%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
- 8
- 9
- 10
- 5
- 5
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
7.4vs 10.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Jaxon Smith-Njigba receptions over the last 5 games versus a line of 10.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 10.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Miss | 5 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 5 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 10 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Miss | 9 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Miss | 8 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Seattle Seahawks
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
4–3
Record
24
Points / game
17.9
Allowed / game
Denver Broncos
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
20.6
Points / game
20.1
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 10.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+750
Current
+750
Change
0
Best available moved from +750 to +750. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Jordan Jackson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Seattle Seahawks
Avery Smith
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 10.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 10.5 receptions?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 10.5 receptions in 0 of 5 games across the last 5 games (0% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 10.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.