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Luther Burden III Over 20.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Over 20.5 longest reception
Cleared 20.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 2L7 average 27.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Over 20.5 longest reception | 23 longest reception | −120 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 20 – Nov 2
- 18
- 25
- 22
- 23
- 25
- 58
- 23
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
27.7vs 20.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Luther Burden III longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 20.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @SEA | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 58 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 11 | @GB | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 4 | vsNYJ | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 28 | vsPHI | Hit | 25 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 18 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Luther Burden III
- Longest reception per game
- 27.2
Season · 8 games
Luther Burden III
BURDEN · TEAM TARGET SHARE
21.7%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
BURDEN · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
23.9%
2026 regular season8 games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB allows
131.3rec yds allowed/game to WRs
11th fewest (L4: 14th most)8 games
Market movement
News and availability
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Luther Burden III Over 20.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Luther Burden III Over 20.5 longest reception?
Luther Burden III hit over 20.5 longest reception in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.