Beau Stephens
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop CHI Settled: Hit
Luther Burden III Over 20.5 Longest Reception vs. Seahawks
The bet: Over 20.5 longest reception
You checked 20.5, an alternate line. Most books: 22.5.
CHI@SEA Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET
Cleared 20.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Oct 22L7 average 27.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 20.5 longest reception won.
Final: 23.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 13 – Oct 22
- 24
- 18
- 25
- 22
- 23
- 25
- 58
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
27.9vs 20.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Luther Burden III longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 20.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 20.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 58 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 11 | @GB | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 4 | vsNYJ | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 28 | vsPHI | Hit | 25 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 18 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 24 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Chicago Bears
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
26.8
Points / game
20
Allowed / game
Seattle Seahawks
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
23.1
Points / game
19.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 20.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−125
Current
−125
Change
0
Best available moved from −125 to −125. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Bears Elevate TE Stephen Carlson From Practice Squad for Seahawks Game (opens in a new tab)
Bears Elevate TE Stephen Carlson From Practice Squad for Seahawks Game
The move adds depth at a position that has been thin since the Bears placed Cole Kmet on injured reserve with a season-ending knee injury.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Seattle Seahawks
Brandon Pili
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Chicago Bears
Case Keenum
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Coby Bryant
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Luther Burden III Over 20.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Luther Burden III Over 20.5 longest reception?
Luther Burden III hit over 20.5 longest reception in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Luther Burden III Over 20.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.