Beaux Collins
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SF Pending
Today's check
The bet: Under 17.5 longest reception
You checked 17.5, an alternate line. Most books: 18.5.
Price as of Oct 25, 12:45 AM ET −121 at BetRivers · Updating prices...
Opened −108 at DraftKings, last seen −121
6 of 6 decided (100%) · this season
Verified facts
Christian McCaffrey hit under 17.5 longest reception in 6 of his last 6 tracked games (100%).
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| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET | Washington Commanders | Under 17.5 longest reception | 13 longest reception | −118 | hit |
| Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | Denver Broncos | Under 17.5 longest reception | 9 longest reception | −115 | hit |
6of6
(100%)
Sep 10 – Oct 19
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
11.2vs 17.5 line
Based on 6 games
Christian McCaffrey longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 17.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | vsWAS | Hit | 13 |
| Oct 11 | @SEA | Hit | 8 |
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Hit | 16 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Hit | 8 |
Price as of Oct 25, 12:45 AM ET: BetRivers −121
Prices as of Oct 25, 12:45 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
MCCAFFREY · TEAM TARGET SHARE
21.1%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
MCCAFFREY · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
5%
2026 regular season6 games
ATL · RECEIVING YARDS
278.2yds/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Open
−108
Current
−121
Change
−13
Best available moved from −108 to −121. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
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Research refreshed
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
San Francisco 49ers by 8.3
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Michael Penix Jr. exited Sunday night’s 30-23 overtime loss to the Baltimore Ravens with a rib injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Beaux Collins
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Billy Bowman Jr.
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Garret Wallow
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 17.5 longest reception in 6 of his last 6 tracked games (100%). Last seen is −121 at BetRivers.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 17.5 longest reception in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.