Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SF Settled: Miss
The bet: Under 41.5 receiving yards
You checked 41.5, an alternate line. Most books: 40.5.
Price as of Oct 19, 5:00 PM ET −115 at BetMGM
Opened −118 at BetRivers, closed −115
4 of 5 decided (80%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Christian McCaffrey averaged 34 receiving yards across 5 stored games, below the 41.5 line. He had 5.4 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
Showing saved research.
Final: 53.
Closing price −115 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
4of5
(80%)
Sep 10 – Oct 11
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
27.4vs 41.5 line
Based on 5 games
Christian McCaffrey receiving yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 41.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @SEA | Hit | 15 |
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 18 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 41 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Miss | 43 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Hit | 20 |
Closing price: BetMGM −115 · 3¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Oct 19, 5:00 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
1–4
Record
22
Points / game
28.7
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
6–0
Record
29.5
Points / game
18.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−118
Current
−115
Change
+3
Best available moved from −118 to −115. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Charles Omenihu
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Fabian Moreau
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 41.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%). Last seen is −115 at BetMGM.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 41.5 receiving yards in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
−115 at BetMGM was the recorded closing price for Christian McCaffrey Under 41.5 receiving yards.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.