Dallen Bentley
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop KC Settled: Hit
Kenneth Walker III Under 12.5 Longest Reception vs. Broncos
The bet: Under 12.5 longest reception
You checked 12.5, an alternate line. Most books: 11.5.
KC@DEN Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Stayed under 12.5 in 5 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 14 to Oct 25L6 average 8.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 12.5 longest reception won.
Final: 8.
Hit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 14 – Oct 25
- 11
- 22
- 5
- 2
- 6
- 7
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
8.8vs 12.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Kenneth Walker III longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 12.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 12.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @SEA | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 18 | vsLAC | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 4 | @LV | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Miss | 22 |
| Sep 14 | vsDEN | Hit | 11 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Kansas City Chiefs
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
23.9
Points / game
18.7
Allowed / game
Denver Broncos
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
21.5
Points / game
20.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 12.5 longest reception
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−130
Current
−127
Change
+3
Best available moved from −130 to −127. That pays $1.82 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Denver, CO · Grass
- Forecast
- 66°F48% precipitationGusts 9 mph
Game-day inactives
Denver Broncos
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Gavin Ortega
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Talanoa Hufanga
S · Ankle ·
Jordan Jackson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Kansas City Chiefs
Garrett Nussmeier
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Ben VanSumeren
FB · Coach's Decision ·
Diego Pounds
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Jack Pyburn
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Tyreke Smith
DE · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- DEN -1.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- Denver Broncos
- −112
- Kansas City Chiefs
- −108
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Denver Broncos
- 44%
- Kansas City Chiefs
- 56%
Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury (opens in a new tab)
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Kage Casey
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kansas City Chiefs
L'Jarius Sneed
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Mansoor Delane
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Kenneth Walker III Under 12.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Kenneth Walker III Under 12.5 longest reception?
Kenneth Walker III hit under 12.5 longest reception in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Kenneth Walker III Under 12.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.