A.J. Terrell Jr.
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop SF Pending
Today's check
The bet: Under 41.5 receiving yards
You checked 41.5, an alternate line. Most books: 45.5.
Price as of Oct 22, 11:42 PM ET −111 at DraftKings · Updating prices...
Opened −111 at DraftKings, last seen −111
4 of 6 decided (67%) · this season
Verified facts
Christian McCaffrey averaged 34 receiving yards across 5 stored games, below the 41.5 line. He had 5.4 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: Atlanta Falcons allowed 32.2 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET | Washington Commanders | Under 41.5 receiving yards | 53 receiving yards | −120 | miss |
| Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | Denver Broncos | Under 41.5 receiving yards | 18 receiving yards | −113 | hit |
4of6
(67%)
Sep 10 – Oct 19
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
31.7vs 41.5 line
Based on 6 games
Christian McCaffrey receiving yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 41.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | vsWAS | Miss | 53 |
| Oct 11 | @SEA | Hit | 15 |
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 18 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 41 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Miss | 43 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Hit | 20 |
Price as of Oct 22, 11:42 PM ET: DraftKings −111
Prices as of Oct 22, 11:42 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
MCCAFFREY · TEAM TARGET SHARE
21.1%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
MCCAFFREY · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
5%
2026 regular season6 games
MCCAFFREY · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
4.7rec/game
2026 regular season6 games
Open
−111
Current
−111
Change
0
Best available moved from −111 to −111. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Research refreshed
Michael Penix Jr. exited Sunday night’s 30-23 overtime loss to the Baltimore Ravens with a rib injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
A.J. Terrell Jr.
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Beaux Collins
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 41.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 6 tracked games (67%). Last seen is −111 at DraftKings.
Christian McCaffrey hit under 41.5 receiving yards in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.