Jalen Davis
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop CIN Settled: Miss
Chase Brown Under 3.5 Receptions vs. Jaguars
The bet: Under 3.5 receptions
JAX@CIN Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 3.5 in 2 of his last 3
Last 3 gamesSep 13 to Sep 27L3 average 3.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 3.5 receptions lost.
Final: 11.
Hit rate vs the line
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
- 5
- 3
- 2
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
3.3vs 3.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Chase Brown receptions over the last 3 games versus a line of 3.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 3.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @PIT | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 20 | @HOU | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 13 | vsTB | Miss | 5 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Jacksonville Jaguars
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
25.7
Points / game
17.3
Allowed / game
Cincinnati Bengals
Your selection
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
27.2
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 3.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−130
Current
−130
Change
0
Best available moved from −130 to −130. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Paycor Stadium
- Cincinnati, OH · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 72°F0% precipitationGusts 7 mph
Game-day inactives
Cincinnati Bengals
B.J. Hill
DT · Achilles ·
Bryan Cook
S · Ankle ·
Colbie Young
WR · Knee ·
Landon Robinson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Kyle Dugger
S · Quadriceps ·
Jacksonville Jaguars
Montaric Brown
CB · Hamstring ·
CJ Williams
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Wesley Williams
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Jack Kiser
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Daniel Faalele
G · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- CIN -2.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- Cincinnati Bengals
- −148
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- +124
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Cincinnati Bengals
- 45%
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- 54%
Jacksonville Jaguars by 1.2
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Bengals QB Joe Flacco says he has no reason to believe he will be traded (opens in a new tab)
Bengals QB Joe Flacco says he has no reason to believe he will be traded
Bengals QB Joe Flacco says he has no reason to believe he will be traded
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Cincinnati Bengals
Jacksonville Jaguars
Christian Braswell
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Jalen Huskey
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Chase Brown Under 3.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Chase Brown Under 3.5 receptions?
Chase Brown hit under 3.5 receptions in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Chase Brown Under 3.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.