Elgton Jenkins
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop PIT Settled: Hit
Jaylen Warren Under 3.5 Receptions vs. Browns
The bet: Under 3.5 receptions
PIT@CLE Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 3.5 in 2 of his last 3
Last 3 gamesSep 13 to Sep 27L3 average 3.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 3.5 receptions won.
Final: 3.
Hit rate vs the line
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
- 5
- 2
- 3
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
3.3vs 3.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Jaylen Warren receptions over the last 3 games versus a line of 3.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 3.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | vsCIN | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 20 | @NE | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 13 | vsATL | Miss | 5 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Pittsburgh Steelers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
21.9
Points / game
19.7
Allowed / game
Cleveland Browns
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 3.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−154
Current
−115
Change
+39
Best available moved from −154 to −115. That pays $22.02 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Browns hit with injury news they didn’t want to hear for Thursday Night Football vs Steelers (opens in a new tab)
Injury designations are here for the Cleveland Browns’ Week 4 game against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thursday Night Football.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Cleveland Browns
Justin Jefferson
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Drew Allar
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Eli Heidenreich
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaylen Warren Under 3.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaylen Warren Under 3.5 receptions?
Jaylen Warren hit under 3.5 receptions in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Jaylen Warren Under 3.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.