Charles Demmings
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Settled: Miss
The bet: Over 11.5 carries
You checked 11.5, an alternate line. Most books: 9.5.
Price as of Oct 23, 5:52 AM ET +115 at Fanatics
Opened +110 at Fanatics, closed +115
5 of 5 decided (100%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Aaron Jones hit over 11.5 carries in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 8.
Closing price +115 at Fanatics. Pregame evidence: hit 5 of 5 (100%) in the last 5.
5of5
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
Carries per game, oldest to newest
19.4vs 11.5 line
Based on 5 games
Aaron Jones carries over the last 5 games versus a line of 11.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 12 |
Closing price: Fanatics +115
Prices as of Oct 23, 5:52 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
22
Points / game
25.7
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
6–0
Record
20.8
Points / game
12.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+110
Current
+115
Change
+5
Best available moved from +110 to +115. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Minnesota Vikings
Max Brosmer
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Demond Claiborne
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Elijah Williams
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Jakobe Thomas
S · Coach's Decision ·
Caleb Tiernan
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Indianapolis Colts
Bryce Boettcher
LB · Groin ·
Riley Leonard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Sauce Gardner
CB · Calf ·
Dalton Tucker
G · Coach's Decision ·
Tyler Warren
TE · Groin ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Minnesota Vikings by 4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Vikings Initial Injury Report vs. Colts: Kevin O’Connell’s squad is getting healthier, and it’s a crucial week
The Minnesota Vikings are officially coming off of their bye week, with a battered Indianapolis Colts team coming to town.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Charles Demmings
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Alec Pierce
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Anthony Gould
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Aaron Jones hit over 11.5 carries in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%). Last seen is +115 at Fanatics.
Aaron Jones hit over 11.5 carries in 5 of 5 games across the last 5 games (100% hit rate).
+115 at Fanatics was the recorded closing price for Aaron Jones Over 11.5 carries.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.