Aaron Jones Sr.
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
NFL player prop MIN Final · result not graded yet
The bet: Over 9.5 carries
You checked 9.5, an alternate line. Most books: 10.5.
Price as of Oct 25, 10:54 AM ET −135 at BetMGM
Opened −133 at DraftKings, closed −135
5 of 5 decided (100%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Aaron Jones hit over 9.5 carries in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Closing price −135 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 5 of 5 (100%) in the last 5.
5of5
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
Carries per game, oldest to newest
19.4vs 9.5 line
Based on 5 games
Aaron Jones carries over the last 5 games versus a line of 9.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 12 |
Closing price: BetMGM −135 · 5¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 25, 10:54 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
JONES · TEAM CARRY SHARE
63.8%
2026 regular season5 games
IND · CARRIES FACED
23.4per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Rest
+7days rest, MIN
MIN 14, IND 7
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−133
Current
−135
Change
−2
Best available moved from −133 to −135. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Minnesota Vikings by 4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Vikings Initial Injury Report vs. Colts: Kevin O’Connell’s squad is getting healthier, and it’s a crucial week
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
the undefeated Minnesota Vikings
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Aaron Jones Sr.
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Brian O'Neill
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Alec Pierce
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Anthony Gould
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Aaron Jones hit over 9.5 carries in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%). Last seen is −135 at BetMGM.
Aaron Jones hit over 9.5 carries in 5 of 5 games across the last 5 games (100% hit rate).
−135 at BetMGM was the recorded closing price for Aaron Jones Over 9.5 carries.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.